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Buy a New Electric Car Now or Wait?

Quick Facts About Buying an Electric Vehicle Now

If you are teetering on the brink of buying an electric vehicle (EV), you may well be asking yourself if you should buy a new EV now or wait. We understand your hesitation. The faltering economy, exploding interest rates, new and confusing regulations on EV tax credits, and the high price of vehicles in general are only a few of the issues that may give you pause.

Our discussion here focuses on fully electric vehicles drawing all their power from a battery charged by plugging into an outside electric source. This excludes plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) and traditional hybrids (HEVs), which both have and rely on gasoline-fueled engines.

Types of EVs.
Types of EVs.

Let’s explore some of the issues we’ve raised, provide a few pros and cons for buying now, and then we’ll tell you what we would do if we were in your shoes.

Electric Cars: What Do They Cost?

2024 Tesla Model Y driving on a road.

Today, the average price of an EV in the United States is just above $56,500. Correct, that is luxury car territory. Of course, it’s an average; therefore, some EVs are priced lower and some higher. Only a handful of electric cars are listed for sale below $40,000. For example, those below that threshold include (with destination charges) the Nissan Leaf ($29,280) and the Hyundai Kona Electric ($34,270). The Kia Niro EV ($40,975) is just over that threshold. Most cost much more; consequently, manufacturers have priced electric vehicles beyond the reach of the average consumer.

Chevy stopped making its Bolt EV and EUV with a planned return in 2025 for the 2026 model year.

A few manufacturers like Nissan and Tesla have reduced their EV prices in the last few years. For example, Tesla dropped the price of its Model 3 by $3,750 and its Model Y by $13,000 in 2023. Electric car tax credit rules make them eligible for as much as a $7,500 credit.

These days, carmakers offer bigger incentives to entice consumers to buy electric vehicles.

For shoppers buying new EVs, Kelley Blue Book data shows carmakers offered an average incentive of 12% of the transaction price, the highest level in more than three years.

Lack of Variety in Electric Vehicle Models

Despite the volume of new EV models carmakers continue introducing, there still isn’t near the variety of of gasoline-fueled options. Moreover, if you are brand loyal, the choices narrow even more. For example, brands including Buick and Infiniti don’t yet offer an EV. However, nearly every car manufacturer has announced plans to produce EVs in the near future.

In other words, the options will increase with time. Consequently, if you can’t find exactly what you want now, you may be able to in a year or two.

Plentiful Supply in the Automotive Market

After all the clogged supply chain and the microchip shortage that dogged the electric car supply chain in recent years, there’s no shortage of them to choose from these days. Inventory levels returned to about normal and incentives make the vehicles more enticing. Then there’s tax credits. Read on.

EV Tax Credits You May Consider

Some electric cars can qualify for up to a $7,500 instant rebate at the dealership and used EVs as much as $4,000. We have covered many of the details elsewhere, and you can check them out in the latest version of our article on tax credits.

However, qualifying for the rebate or tax break depends upon your income. For example, the rebates are limited to individuals reporting adjusted gross incomes of $150,000 or less on taxes, $225,000 for those filing as head of household, and $300,000 for joint filers. It also depends on the price of the EV ($55,000 or less for cars and $80,000 or less for trucks and SUVs). To qualify, the EV must also be assembled in the United States, Canada, or Mexico. Unless you lease.

Fluctuating Auto Loan Interest Rates

As the Federal Reserve looks to keep inflation in check, it could consider lowering the Federal Funds interest rate this fall. This is the rate banks charge one another for short-term loans, and it’s set by a committee of 12 Fed members. The Fed is the central bank of the United States. The federal funds rate is the leading influencer of the prime rate, which is the interest rate banks charge their very best customers when borrowing money.

According to the financial market experts at Bankrate, the fed funds rate in September was 5.5%. The same as a year ago. As a result of higher car prices and interest rates, the average monthly new car payment reached $753.

What’s Next?

Cox Automotive Economist Jonathan Smoke sees the Fed lowering the Federal Fund Rates this fall. Cox is the parent company of Kelley Blue Book. Consequently, auto loan rates could decrease by the end of the year, possibly bringing a little relief for car shoppers.

Pros and Cons of Buying an Electric Car Now

Person charging EV in the snow

We’ve tried to avoid wading too far into the weeds. However, itemizing the pros and cons of buying an EV now should clarify things a bit more. Remember, these pros and cons aren’t based on whether you should buy an electric car at all. These are based on buying an electric vehicle now rather than waiting a year or more.

Pros

  • Interest rates — If interest rates on car loans drop later this year, it could be worth the consideration when coupled with other factors below, especially if you have your heart set on a new electric car.
  • Suggested car retail prices — Today’s average EV price remains far out of reach for the average consumer. However, manufacturer incentives, especially for the outgoing 2024 models at year-end, make it a great time to consider an EV at a substantial discount.
  • Revitalized tax credit — For many, the best time to buy an electric vehicle was before some of the new tax credit regulations went into effect. However, if you want a car model eligible for up to the full $7,500 tax credit, it’s a great time to act, especially when paired with the manufacturer and dealer incentives. Check to ensure you meet income eligibility requirements.
  • Plentiful inventory — In this fluctuating economy, demand for all new cars, including electric vehicles, could drop. Electric vehicle inventory is much higher. So, even if the MSRPs of electric cars stay the same, dealers seem willing to negotiate lower prices.

Cons

What Would We Do?

If budgeting were our number one concern, we’d wait until sometime in 2025. While it’s a roll of the dice whether interest rates will substantially come down for car loans, we bet they will in 2025. Additionally, tax rebates of up to $7,500 upfront help the bottom line if you and the vehicle qualify for the break.

However, if you can’t wait and you see an end-of-the-model-year price drop on the EV model you want, it might be a great time to buy now if you can also get a car loan with low to 0% financing. Before making any decisions, weigh all economic factors cautiously. Also, be aware that EV manufacturer Fisker fell into bankruptcy protection and is liquidating assets. You may want to think twice before buying a Fisker EV, whose company may not be capable of supporting owners going forward.

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